Almonds: crop estimates similar to last year

February 27, 2025 at 3:07 PM , Der AUDITOR
Play report as audio

CANBERRA. Projections for almonds range on a similar level as last year in Australia after frost was witnessed in September. Exports are still record breaking.

Plus 20,000 ha

Initial estimates for this year's crop stood at 164,700 for shelled almonds. September frosts have, however, prompted the Almond Board of Australia (ABA) to revise estimates downwards to 155,531 mt at the start of February. This is similar in size to last year's crop. Silver lining, however, is that the almond trees planted on 20,000 ha between 2017 and 2019 will turn productive this year. In the current crop report ABA further states that dry weather conditions have enabled some farmers to start harvesting up to two weeks earlier. Quality should also profit from nuts drying on dry grounds rather than in wet conditions. Expecation is, in addition, that the kernel size will be larger than last year.

China and India remain top buyers

Total monthly shipments stood at 13,903 mt in December 2024, which is 51% up on December 2023. While domestic shipments slumped by 44% to 796 mt, exports surged by an impressive 75% to 13,106 mt. This marks a new record for December at a time when supplies normal start to dwindle. 

Total shipments amounted to 158,339 mt between March and December, which is a stunning 32% up on last year. Exports thereby surged by 39% to 137,479 mt, domestic shipments declined by 2% to 20,860 mt. Exports to China have more than doubled and shipments to India are 10% up. Contrary to this, shipments to Turkey have witnessed a nominal decline.

Almond shipments, Australia (mt)

Destination

2023/24

2024/25

Diff.

China

32,680

75,053

129.7%

Australia

21,331

20,860

-2.2%

India

17,738

19,551

10.2%

Turkey

9,993

9,867

-1.3%

Vietnam

11,524

8,188

-28.9%

Germany

3,483

4,437

27.4%

UAE

2,005

3,703

84.7%

Spain

9,604

3,359

-65.0%

Thailand

903

1,671

85.0%

Netherlands

1,341

1,234

-8.0%

Others

9,851

10,416

5.7%

Total

120,453

158,339

31.5%

Almond Board of Australia, Mar-Dec
shelled in inshell

 

View more
price chart, almonds, Mamra, Iran
price chart, almonds, natural 13/14, Largueta
price chart, almonds, blanched, 27/30, California SSR
more price charts 

 

View related articles

Go to the News Overview
Nuts
Mar 21, 2025
ORDU/REUS. Palpable suspense has gripped the market for hazelnuts as weather conditions have turned unpredictable in Turkey. Istanbul major Ekrem İmamoğlu’s arrest has added further chaos. The International Nut and Dried Fruit Council (INC) has issued revised estimates.
Nuts
Mar 20, 2025
VANCOUVER/REUS. While the International Nut and Dried Fruit Council (INC) has issued rather upbeat crop estimates for macadamias in 2025, prospects are clouded in Australia. The supply and demand dynamics are rather complicated at present with smuggling a potential problem in Kenya and economic considerations dampening appetites in North America.
Nuts
Mar 19, 2025
SACRAMENTO/REUS. Adverse weather conditions promtped US walnut production to fall short of expectations this season. Fierce competition is, however, preventing sharp price adjustments.
Nuts
Mar 18, 2025
THERAN/FRESNO. Attractive prices have propelled Iran’s pistachios exports to a four-year high. Yet, the tide is turning. Contrary to this, US exports have slumped by 30% with Poland being the biggest surprise.