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Flaxseed: Prices will drop

July 27, 2017 at 12:33 PM , Der AUDITOR
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LODZ/OTTAWA. The market prices for the new and old crops have now reached identical levels in Poland.

 

Brown flaxseed is now trading for 490-500 EUR/kg DDP Germany and yellow flaxseed is trading for 705-715 EUR/mt DDP Germany. It is still very difficult to estimate production in Russia. Market players report that a lack of rain is also causing difficulties in smaller countries such as Moldova and the Ukraine. It is therefore highly unlikely that this year’s production will reach similar levels as last year’s record production of far more than 1 M mt in Eastern Europe.

Flaxseed, 99.9% purity

Quality

EUR/mt

brown, 2016 crop

490-500

brown, 2017 crop

490-500

yellow, 2017 crop

705-715

DDP Germany

 

New estimates in Canada

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada has corrected the estimates for the 2017/18 flaxseed production in the recently published July report. Although an acreage of 421,000 ha is expected, which is still significantly bigger than 2016, this is considerably less than the 451,000 ha expected in June. With yields remaining stable this means that a 6.6% drop in production to 635,000 mt is to be expected.

Due to the large carry-over stocks and imports, however, supplies for 2017/18 amount to as much as 765,000 mt in Canada. Average prices should therefore drop by 6.5% to 430 CAD/mt.

Flaxseed, Canada

2015/16 vs. 2016/17

2016/17 vs. 2017/18

acreage

664,000

378,000

-43.07%

378,000

421,000

11.38%

harvested

646,000

338,000

-47.68%

338,000

414,000

22.49%

yield (mt/ha)

1.46

1.71

17.12%

1.71

1.53

-10.53%

production

942,000

579,000

-38.54%

579,000

635,000

9.67%

imports

13,000

10,000

-23.08%

10,000

10,000

0.00%

total supplies

1,053,000

863,000

-18.04%

863,000

765,000

-11.36%

exports

631,000

600,000

-4.91%

600,000

625,000

4.17%

consumption

149,000

143,000

-4.03%

143,000

40,000

-72.03%

carry over stocks

274,000

120,000

-56.20%

120,000

100,000

-16.67%

avg price in CAD/mt

449

460

2.45%

460

430

-6.52%

 

Attached Files

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flaxseed brown price chart

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