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Mustard seeds: no production dent anticipated

July 28, 2026 at 4:06 PM , Der AUDITOR
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OTTAWA/BRUSSELS. Although the area sown with mustard seed in Canada is not fantastic, estimates show that production will be similar in size to last year. EU imports have declined sharply in July.

Production similar to last year

According to official reports, the area sown with mustard seeds in Canada has fallen short of initial expectations, reason being unfavourable weather conditions and the resulting delays. Judging by Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada's latest estimates the average yield of 0.94 mt/ha may, however, only range 3% lower than last year's 0.97 mt/ha. In addition, the area sown still ranges 5% higher than last year at 153,000 ha and production is estimated at 140,000 mt, roughly on a par with last year’s figure. Yet, it should be noted that this is lower than in previous years. Saskatchewan accounts for 71% of the area sown, Alberta for 28% and Manitoba for the remainder.

As Rayglen Commodities state the price gap between the current and new crop is closing. While brown mustard seeds have been trading in a firm range of CAD 0.35/lb for some time now, yellow mustard seeds are trading lower at CAD 0.37/lb. For full-year contracts buyers must be prepared for pay premiums for deliveries after December 2026.

Mustard seeds, Canada

2024/25

2025/26

Diff.

2025/26

2026/27

Diff.

Area sown (ha)

245,000

146,000

-40.4%

146,000

153,000

4.8%

Area harvested (ha)

243,000

145,000

-40.3%

145,000

149,000

2.8%

Yield (mt/ha)

0.79

0.97

22.8%

0.97

0.94

-3.1%

Production (mt)

192,000

140,000

-27.1%

140,000

140,000

0.0%

Imports (mt)

8,000

8,000

0.0%

8,000

8,000

0.0%

Total supply (mt)

288,000

291,000

1.0%

291,000

293,000

0.7%

Exports (mt)

91,000

95,000

4.4%

95,000

95,000

0.0%

Domestic consumption (mt)

54,000

51,000

-5.6%

51,000

53,000

3.9%

Carry-over supply (mt)

143,000

145,000

1.4%

145,000

145,000

0.0%

Avg. CAD/mt

860

865

0.6%

865

850

-1.7%

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada

Weak start to new EU import marketing year

Early import statistics issued by the European Commission indicate that shipments have declined sharply in the first three weeks of the new marketing year. In terms of volume, they have fallen by a stunning 85%. In terms of value, import have also slumped by 79% to EUR 1.7 million (USD 1.9 million). Canada has retained its position as leading trading partner with a 35% drop, followed by Kazakhstan, Ukraine and Russia as well as Brazil, which are sporting even sharper downturns. Within the EU, the Netherlands currently are the main buyer (+1,134% to 839 mt) with the Czech Republic (-30% to 551 mt) and Belgium (-96% to 302 mt) next in line.

EU mustard seed imports (mt)

Partner

2025/26

2026/27

Diff.

Canada

1,892

1,222

-35.4%

Kazakhstan

1,924

528

-72.6%

Ukraine

1,937

307

-84.2%

Russia

2,896

264

-90.9%

Brazil

6,695

-

-100%

Others

116

27

-76.7%

Total

15,460

2,348

-84.8%

DG AGRI TAXUD Customs Surveillance System, 01/07-26/07

HS Code 12075090 mustard seeds, whether or not broken (excl. for sowing)

 

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