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Mustard seeds: production estimates fall short of expectations

June 9, 2020 4:09 PM, Der AUDITOR
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OTTAWA/NUR-SULTAN. Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada has recently revised the production estimates for mustard seeds downwards. Instead of the initially expected...

... 145,000 metric tonnes, production is now estimated at 140,000 metric tonnes. Although the area sown is similar in size to last year, nominally higher yields should drive up production by 3.7%. Prices are expected to range lower in the new season.

Mustard seeds, Canada

2018/19 vs. 2019/20

2019/20 vs. 2020/21

Area sown (ha)

204,000

161,000

-21.1%

161,000

160,000

-0.6%

Harvested (mt)

197,000

155,000

-21.3%

155,000

155,000

0.0%

Yield (mt/ha)

0.88

0.87

-1.1%

0.87

0.90

3.4%

Production (mt)

174,000

135,000

-22.4%

135,000

140,000

3.7%

Imports (mt)

8,000

7,000

-12.5%

7,000

8,000

14.3%

Total supply (mt)

235,000

214,000

-8.9%

214,000

203,000

-5.1%

Exports (mt)

121,000

115,000

-5.0%

115,000

115,000

0.0%

Domestic consumption (mt)

42,000

44,000

4.8%

44,000

43,000

-2.3%

Carry-over stocks (mt)

73,000

55,000

-24.7%

55,000

45,000

-18.2%

Avg. price (CAD/mt)

690

715

3.6%

715

695

-2.8%

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada

Germany cuts imports

Shipments to Germany ranged below 30,000 metric tonnes in August 2019 till March 2020, which is a 14.5% decline on last year. Shipments from Russia were thereby cut by 27% to 12,261 metric tonnes and from Kazakhstan by 37% to 2,099 metric tonnes. By contrast, the shipments from Ukraine have risen by 15% to 10,169 metric tonnes.

Mustard seed imports, Germany (mt)

Country

2018/19

2019/20

Diff.

Russia

16,886

12,261

-27.4%

Ukraine

8,860

10,169

14.8%

Canada

4,475

4,256

-4.9%

Kazakhstan

3,344

2,099

-37.2%

Czech Republic

436

228

-47.7%

Others

1,023

931

-9.0%

Total

35,024

29,944

-14.5%

Federal Statistical Office of Germany / Aug-Mar

Prices on the rise in Kazakhstan

Although prices in Kazakhstan range much lower than in the first few months of the year, a noted upward trend has been observed in recent weeks. Sinapis Alba mustard seeds with a 97% purity are currently trading at EUR 0.31 per kg EXW Kazakhstan. Brassica Nigra mustard seeds with a 98% purity are trading at EUR 0.335 per kg EXW Kazakhstan.

Mustard seeds, Kazakhstan

Type

EUR/kg

Sinapis Alba, 97% purity

0.310

Brassica Nigra, 98% purity

0.335

EXW North Kazakhstan

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