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Soybeans: US imports not that attractive in China

August 31, 2026 at 11:45 AM , Der AUDITOR
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DALIAN. Although China committed to buy at least 25 million of US soybeans per year until 2028 in the trade deal stuck with US president Donald Trump in November 2025, exporters in China do not think that US soybeans will stand much of a chance.

Sharp decline in shipments to China

Exports to China have declined sharply with US soybean shipments forecast to fall by approximately 13-18% year-on-year in the 2025/2026 marketing year. In the first quarter of 2026, China’s imports from the US totalled just 3.4 million mt, a year-on-year decline of 71%. For the whole of 2025, imports from the US stood at 16.8 million mt, down 24%.

Dual disadvantages of price and tariffs

The combined tariff on US soybeans entering China is around 13%, whilst that for Brazilian soybeans is only

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