Free of charge

Barley: To sell or not to sell

September 22, 2017 at 9:09 AM , Starry Night Ltd.
Play report as audio

Exports lack consistency on a weekly basis. Selling parties should prepare for a tough season.

BULGARIA. Harvest has long ended, and the final estimates of the Ministry of Agriculture placed aggregate output this year at 620,496 mt; last year’s national production reached 697,787 mt. The downgrade in collected quantities this season comes from the lower available land for harvest - by 19.5%. Output 2017-18 could have been even lower, had it not been for the higher average yield – 4.75 mt/ha or 7.5% higher on a yearly basis.

Barley: output characteristics too weak to influence regional forces

The lower output this year, on the background of a higher quality crop, fails to push prices higher. The substantial owners of barley land have already sold out the crop to intermediary market players, who seem in no hurry to unload the crop on the market.

Last year, barley’s prices experienced a firm upward increase two months after the end of harvest. Withholding the crop from the market, sellers expect to change the downward trend. So far in the season, they have not succeeded. Anyhow, according to the Ministry of Agriculture, on a year-to-year basis, EXW average purchasing prices this season are higher by about 4.0 EUR/kg when compared to those of last year.

Harvest 2017-18

(01.07.2017 - 15.09.2017)

Carry over

22,000  mt

Domestic output

619,812 mt

Domestic consumption

66,000 mt

Exports to the world

199,554 mt

Source: Bulgarian Ministry of Agriculture

Lack of export consistency

Exports of barley lack the vibrancy of wheat exports, for instance. Occasional exports for small quantities during the month are not encouraging, at all. On a year-to-year basis, only shipped volumes via sea routs – Varna sea port – lead by points: since the beginning of the marketing season till the end of last week, 86,684 mt of barley were exported, while during last year by that time, via the same marine route were shipped out only 6,053 mt. And this season, selling parties will be selling under the dark sky!

Barley, Bulgaria

Type

EUR/kg

feed barley

0.129

EXW Bulgaria

View related articles

Go to the News Overview
Grains
Mar 23, 2026
DALIAN. On the Chinese millet market, traders and growers are currently holding back on offers. Domestic demand is expected to ease. Global millet production in 2025/26 is forecast to be 3% higher than the previous year’s figure.
Grains
Mar 23, 2026
DALIAN/KYIV. Rising freight rates are leading to lower demand for Chinese buckwheat. In Ukraine, experts predict a slight decline in acreage.
Grains
Mar 18, 2026
KYIV. Smaller acreage and lower yields had caused millet production in Ukraine to decline significantly. This year, the acreage is to be expanded by 20% again. EU imports from Ukraine have fallen by 17% this season.
Organic Commodities
Mar 9, 2026
ASUNCIÓN/SUCRE. Frost damaged the South American chia seed crop in 2025. Now, the approaching winter months are once again causing concern for growers.