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Mustard seeds: Russia steps up shipments

October 5, 2022 at 9:00 AM , Der AUDITOR
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OTTAWA. Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada has again revised the production estimates for mustard seeds. Production may surge by 190% on last year, if conditions prove to be ideal. Germany has stepped up buying in Russia.

Production to surge by 190%

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada has revised several estimates for 2022/2023. While estimates for the area harvested have been cut from 217,000 ha to 214,000 ha, yields are now expected to range at 0.83 mt/ha instead of 0.81 mt/ha. This would lift production to 177,000 mt, which is 190% up on last year when summer heat and drought caused yields to decline to a record low. Total supplies will range at 190,000 mt. Average prices should range at CAD 2,050/mt, which may be much lower than last year but are still high. Although harvesting has only nearly been completed, preliminary reports indicate that the situation is much better than last year. High temperatures may, however, prompt further revisions.

Mustard seeds, Canada

2020/21

2021/22

Diff.

2021/22

2022/23

Diff.

Area sown (ha)

104,000

117,000

12.5%

117,000

225,000

92.3%

Area harvested (ha)

101,000

110,000

8.9%

110,000

214,000

94.5%

Yields (mt/ha)

0.99

0.55

-44.4%

0.55

0.83

50.9%

Production (mt)

100,000

61,000

-39.0%

61,000

177,000

190.2%

Imports (mt)

6,000

9,000

50.0%

9,000

7,000

-22.2%

Total supplies (mt)

191,000

130,000

-31.9%

130,000

190,000

46.2%

Exports (mt)

111,000

106,000

-4.5%

106,000

115,000

8.5%

Consumption (mt)

20,000

18,000

-10,0%

18,000

20,000

11.1%

Carry-over supplies (mt)

61,000

6,000

-90.2%

6,000

55,000

816.7%

Avg. CAD/mt

885

2,885

226.0%

2,885

2,050

-28.9%

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada

Germany steps up buying in Russia

Germany stepped up buying by nearly 34% between September and July as compared with the same period in 2020/2021. Russia is the main supplier by far and was able to increase shipments by 33%. However, it should be noted that shipments from Russia to Germany took a dip in summer. While Russia shipped 3,375 mt of mustard seed to Germany in June and July 2021, this figure dropped to 995 mt in the same two months this year.

Shipments from Ukraine are only nominally up by 4% and from Canada by 64%. While shipments from Estonia and Poland declined by 11% and 16% respectively, shipments from Kazakhstan more than tripled to 840 mt. The spot market prices for brown Brassica Juncea mustard seeds with a 98% purity presently range at EUR 1.40/kg DDP Germany. Supplies are, however, limited.

Mustard seed imports, Germany, in mt

Country

2020/21

2021/22

Diff.

Russia

15,600

20,813

33.4%

Ukraine

6,989

7,264

3.9%

Canada

3,018

4,958

64.3%

Czech Republic

752

1,081

43.8%

Estonia

963

854

-11.3%

Kazakhstan

220

840

281.8%

Poland

572

482

-15.7%

Others

485

1,908

293.4%

Total

28,599

38,200

33.6%

Federal Statistical Office of Germany / Sep-Jul

HS Code 12075090 Mustard seeds, whether or not broken (excl. for sowing)

 

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