Almonds: rapid export pace
July 22, 2025 at 4:54 PM ,
Der AUDITOR
2025 crop smaller than expected
Australian almond farmers completed their 2025 harvest season in May. Contrary to previous estimates by the Almond Board of Australia of around 155,000 mt, the crop only amounted to 145,000 mt of shelled almonds, according to the latest report by the Foreign Agricultural Service of the US Department of Agriculture. The reason for this was above-average temperatures during the growing season, with heat stress reducing the kernel weight. Furthermore, the prospect of lower almond prices is said to have prompted growers to invest less in the maintenance of their plantations, which also limited the yield potential. Next year, however, Australian almond production is expected to have the potential to achieve a record result of 175,000 mt. However, it is still too early to take these estimates at face value.
May exports with third-highest export result
After the record export season of 2024/2025 with 143,333 mt, the Australian almond sector started the new season with only small carry-over stocks. Nevertheless, the FAS estimates Australia's almond exports for 2025/2026 at a total of 143,000 mt – which would be almost the entire crop of this year.
There is certainly no shortage of demand for Australian almonds at present. In May 2025, a total of 16,265 mt of shelled and unshelled almonds were shipped overseas; the third-highest monthly export volume since records began – surpassed only by exports in July 2024 (approx. 17,900 mt) and September 2024 (approx. 21,500 mt) – and around 55% higher than exports in May 2024. Domestic deliveries, however, fell by 25% year-on-year to 1,817 mt. China remains the main buyer with 8,844 mt (+45.9% year-on-year), especially as, unlike US almonds, no tariffs apply to this country. Countries such as India, Vietnam and Germany also significantly increased their imports in May 2025 compared to the previous year.
In total, 35,616 mt (+14.5%) of Australian almonds were shipped domestically and overseas in the first three months of the new season, of which 5,416 mt (-12.4%) went to the domestic market, while overseas shipments amounted to 30,200 mt (+21.1%).
The main buyers, China (+18.3% to 14,186 mt) and India (+51.5% to 6,259 mt), significantly increased their imports during this period, as did Turkey (+79.8% to 3,211 mt) and Vietnam (+75.7% to 1,409 mt). However, shipments to EU countries such as Spain (-52.5% to 738 mt) and Germany (-8.8% to 708 mt) remained down for the first quarter of the 2025/2026 season as a whole.
|
Almond shipments, Australia, in mt |
|||
|
Destination |
2024/25 |
2025/26 |
Diff. |
|
China |
11,995 |
14,186 |
18.3% |
|
India |
4,131 |
6,259 |
51.5% |
|
Australia |
6,186 |
5,416 |
-12.4% |
|
Turkey |
1,786 |
3,211 |
79.8% |
|
Vietnam |
802 |
1,409 |
75.7% |
|
Spain |
1,555 |
738 |
-52.5% |
|
Germany |
776 |
708 |
-8.8% |
|
Thailand |
293 |
610 |
108.2% |
|
USA |
132 |
450 |
240.9% |
|
New Zealand |
459 |
394 |
-14.2% |
|
Others |
3,004 |
2,235 |
-25.6% |
|
Total |
31,119 |
35,616 |
14.5% |
|
Almond Board of Australia; Mar-May; shelled and in-shell |
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