Free of charge

Almonds: successful start to the new season

May 15, 2025 at 4:47 PM , Der AUDITOR
Play report as audio

CANBERRA. Australia's March exports may not quite match the record result of the same month last year, but they are still in the top league. However, if the current season is similarly successful, stocks could become scarce.

March exports remain at a high level

Australian exporters had a successful start to the 2025/2026 season. Although the agreement reached in the tariff dispute between China and the USA at the beginning of this week could simplify trade between the two countries again during the 90-day period, China once again relied on Australia as an almond supplier, at least in March. Around 1,964 mt of shelled and unshelled almonds were shipped from Australia to China in the first month of the new season, which is a good figure despite the -22% year-on-year difference. Shipments to other main buyer countries such as India and Spain were also down. Nevertheless, March exports totalled 6,061 mt, which is a decline of 17.3%, while remaining the second highest export value for March. Domestic deliveries, however, totalled 1,633 mt (-2.8% year-on-year), the lowest level in more than ten years. A total of 7,694 mt of shelled and unshelled almonds were shipped domestically and overseas in the first month of the new 2025/2026 season, 14.6% less than in the same period last year.

Almond shipments, Australia, in mt

Destination

2024/25

2025/26

Diff.

China

2,519

1,964

-22.0%

Australia

1,680

1,633

-2.8%

India

1,526

1,350

-11.5%

Turkey

563

760

35.0%

Spain

1,025

426

-58.4%

USA

0

390

-

Vietnam

434

301

-30.6%

Thailand

81

146

80.2%

Poland

128

128

0.0%

New Zealand

96

117

21.9%

Others

958

479

-50.0%

Total

9,010

7,694

-14.6%

Almond Board of Australia; March

Shelled and unshelled

Variable crop forecasts

According to data published last week during the INC Congress, the Almond Board of Australia is expecting a similarly good crop result this year as in 2024 with around 155,500 mt. However, some analysts estimate production at just 125,000-140,000 mt due to the dry weather conditions.

Due to the record exports in the 2024/2025 season, there were hardly any carry-over stocks, with just 4,000 mt of shelled almonds reportedly left over at the end. In the previous year, there were an estimated 24,000 mt. This would mean that a total of 159,500 mt of Australian almonds would be available on the market for the 2025/2026 season, compared to the 177,600 mt in 2024/2025. If the new season is similarly successful, there will hardly be any significant closing stocks this time either. From March 2024 to February 2025, a total of 169,641 mt shelled and unshelled almonds were shipped domestically and overseas.

View more
price chart, almonds, Mamra, Iran
price chart, almonds, natural 13/14, Largueta
price chart, almonds, blanched, 27/30, California SSR
more price charts 

View related articles

Go to the News Overview
Nuts
Dec 12, 2025
ORDU. In Turkey, the hazelnut market has shifted into reverse mode with wide price gaps existing. There is wide room for speculations as to what way the market will turn in the second half of the season and who may have to pay the bill.
Nuts
Dec 11, 2025
REUS. According to the International Nut and Dried Fruit Council’s (INC) most recent production estimates for pistachios, global production will decline despite the US bumper crop. Output is not in line with expectations in Iran and Turkey. Spain holds quite an advantage.
Nuts
Dec 10, 2025
REUS. In November, the International Nut and Dried Fruit Council (INC) sharply revised the production estimates for pecans. Supplies are an issue in the US. South Africa reports a record crop. Floods have hit China and Brazil.
Nuts
Dec 10, 2025
MANILA/HANOI. Extreme weather events in recent weeks have led to chaotic conditions in some growing countries. The extent of the damage is currently still being assessed. Prices for desiccated coconuts remain largely stable, while other coconut products are proving to be much more volatile.