Almonds: successful start to the new season
May 15, 2025 at 4:47 PM ,
Der AUDITOR
March exports remain at a high level
Australian exporters had a successful start to the 2025/2026 season. Although the agreement reached in the tariff dispute between China and the USA at the beginning of this week could simplify trade between the two countries again during the 90-day period, China once again relied on Australia as an almond supplier, at least in March. Around 1,964 mt of shelled and unshelled almonds were shipped from Australia to China in the first month of the new season, which is a good figure despite the -22% year-on-year difference. Shipments to other main buyer countries such as India and Spain were also down. Nevertheless, March exports totalled 6,061 mt, which is a decline of 17.3%, while remaining the second highest export value for March. Domestic deliveries, however, totalled 1,633 mt (-2.8% year-on-year), the lowest level in more than ten years. A total of 7,694 mt of shelled and unshelled almonds were shipped domestically and overseas in the first month of the new 2025/2026 season, 14.6% less than in the same period last year.
|
Almond shipments, Australia, in mt |
|||
|
Destination |
2024/25 |
2025/26 |
Diff. |
|
China |
2,519 |
1,964 |
-22.0% |
|
Australia |
1,680 |
1,633 |
-2.8% |
|
India |
1,526 |
1,350 |
-11.5% |
|
Turkey |
563 |
760 |
35.0% |
|
Spain |
1,025 |
426 |
-58.4% |
|
USA |
0 |
390 |
- |
|
Vietnam |
434 |
301 |
-30.6% |
|
Thailand |
81 |
146 |
80.2% |
|
Poland |
128 |
128 |
0.0% |
|
New Zealand |
96 |
117 |
21.9% |
|
Others |
958 |
479 |
-50.0% |
|
Total |
9,010 |
7,694 |
-14.6% |
|
Almond Board of Australia; March Shelled and unshelled |
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Variable crop forecasts
According to data published last week during the INC Congress, the Almond Board of Australia is expecting a similarly good crop result this year as in 2024 with around 155,500 mt. However, some analysts estimate production at just 125,000-140,000 mt due to the dry weather conditions.
Due to the record exports in the 2024/2025 season, there were hardly any carry-over stocks, with just 4,000 mt of shelled almonds reportedly left over at the end. In the previous year, there were an estimated 24,000 mt. This would mean that a total of 159,500 mt of Australian almonds would be available on the market for the 2025/2026 season, compared to the 177,600 mt in 2024/2025. If the new season is similarly successful, there will hardly be any significant closing stocks this time either. From March 2024 to February 2025, a total of 169,641 mt shelled and unshelled almonds were shipped domestically and overseas.
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