Almonds: exports down on last year
December 16, 2025 at 10:20 AM ,
Der AUDITOR
Robust November
At 220.52 million pounds monthly shipments came in 19% lower than the record 271.38 million pounds witnessed in November 2024. Exports also ranged as much as 20% lower at 173.19 million pounds as compared with last year’s November record of 216.95 million pounds. Domestic shipments declined by 13% to a multi-year low of 47.34 million pounds as opposed to the 54.44 million pounds recorded in November 2024.
6% dip in exports
Grand total shipments stand 10% lower than last year at 824.817 million pounds with domestic shipments showing a 19% decline and exports a more moderate 6% dip. Exports to India range 19% lower than last year. Yet as suppliers such as Select Harvest highlight monthly shipments surged by 29% in November 2025 over November 2024 and confidence remains that sales will continue to recover throughout the season.
Shipments to the United Arab Emirates are 8% down on last year, which is roughly in line with the trend perceived for the Middle East as shipments have dropped by 9% from 147.99 million pounds in the first four months of 2024/2025 to 134.60 million pounds in 2025/2026. Exports to Turkey have also dipped by 4%.
By contrast, exports to Spain have risen by 18%. Shipments to Western Europe are relatively flat at 179.89 million pounds with the Netherlands and Germany showing noted declines. Issue is that shopping for Christmas was completed in October. Italy is an exception as shipments to here have remained strong, and the country has surpassed Germany as the second most important export destination in the region.
Vietnam is showing the most noted rise of 82% and shipments to Southeast Asia have surged by 58% to 62.91 million pounds this season so far as many countries here supply China. Direct shipments to China/Hong Kong, however, range a stunning 75% lower than last year at 8.58 million pounds.
|
US almond shipments (1,000 lbs) |
|||
|
Destination |
2024/25 |
2025/26 |
Diff. |
|
India |
122,405 |
99,019 |
-19.1% |
|
UAE |
67,578 |
62,489 |
-7.5% |
|
Spain |
49,186 |
58,203 |
18.3% |
|
Turkey |
52,213 |
48,908 |
-4.3% |
|
Vietnam |
23,322 |
42,523 |
82.3% |
|
Italy |
27,591 |
32,172 |
16.6% |
|
Netherlands |
43,554 |
29,103 |
-33.2% |
|
Morocco |
15,658 |
23,752 |
52.0% |
|
Germany |
25,625 |
23,325 |
-9.0% |
|
Japan |
20,910 |
20,538 |
-1.8% |
|
Others |
223,759 |
191,254 |
-14.5% |
|
Total Exports |
671,801 |
631,286 |
-6.0% |
|
Total Domestic |
239,865 |
193,530 |
-19.3% |
|
Grand Total |
911,667 |
824,817 |
-9.5% |
|
California almonds, 01/08-30/11 |
|||
Clearer production figures in December
Although crop receipts stand 7% lower than last year at 2.187 billion pounds, this is largely attributed to delays and figures may well catch up in December, which will show a clearer picture. Chinese and Lunar New Year along with Ramdan will drive demand in the coming weeks. Buyers will closely observe supplies, and anticipation is that prices will remain firm in December.
Funding to be discontinued
In addition, the Almond Board of California (ABC) has announced that it will stop funding the USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) Objective Measurement Report, which is issued in July. Issue are the ongoing challenges in capturing larger crop sizes, diverse grower practices and weather events in the different parts of California. ABC has funded the report since the 1960’s but implies that the crop estimates issued in the report no longer respond to the needs of the industry. Funding of the Subjective Forecast, which is issued in May will, however, continue.
View more
- price chart, almonds, Mamra, Iran
- price chart, almonds, natural 13/14, Largueta
- price chart, almonds, blanched, 27/30, California SSR
- more price charts
View related articles
