Grains - Grains

Barley: Bulgaria was in for a surprise

January 16, 2017 at 9:13 AM , Der AUDITOR
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SOFIA. Lower supplies normally drive up prices. But the market dynamics are quite peculiar in Bulgaria. Market participants were in fact in for a surprise in December.

Lower availability drives down exports
By the end of 2016, exports reached 373,796 mt. The majority, namely 232,311 mt, went to countries of the European Union, such as Spain and Greece. According to the Ministry of Agriculture, 727,155 mt were harvested in 2016. The output, therefore, increased by approximately 4.00% as compared to 2015 due to an increase in yields.

However, the low carry-over stocks of as little as 4,900 mt resulted in a limited availability this season. In 2015 the carry-over stocks amounted to as much as 53,000 mt. The farmers’ predictions that this lower availability would drive down exports were right. By 1 January 2017, exports of barley through Varna seaport stood at 13,916 mt, a decrease of 88.3% as compared to 2015. Surprisingly, however, as much as 192,034 mt of barley remained to be sold by the end of 2016 and the prices for the season are lower than last year.

Key factors affecting the prices
The higher availability of barley in Russia and Ukraine, has considerably pressurised prices in the Black Sea region. In addition, barley, wheat and corn are also used as feedstuff meaning that they can easily be used as substitutes. This also has an impact on prices.

Recent trading activities in Bulgaria have, nevertheless, pushed the prices to a new high level. Currently, barley is being traded for 0.151 EUR/kg CPT domestic port.

 

Barley, Bulgaria

Type

EUR/kg

feed barley

0.151

CPT domestic port

 

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