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Barley: Faring under dark skies

October 20, 2017 at 2:21 PM , Starry Night Ltd.
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SOFIA. An expected decrease in output looms on the horizon. Farmers are in the fields, sowing.

Barley: Foreboding lower production for next season

BULGARIA. According to the Ministry of Agriculture, by the 12th of October 2017, estimated sowed acreages of barley stood at 41,537 ha. The number is 22.6% lower than planted acreages of the grain last year. There is still time before the final estimates of sowed acreages are released, but the market expects the cultivation of barley to further decrease on an annual basis. The reason is painfully clear: tough regional competition, which exerts downward pressure of local prices.

Besides, the harvest of barley starts first, in comparison with those of other locally cultivated grains such as wheat, rapeseed and corn; and as a result, farmers are compelled to sell the grain quickly – even before it has been stored in warehouses – so that they could empty space for the upcoming harvests of the other grains, as well as, receive fresh liquidity. Prices during harvest are lower!

In the clutches of the status quo

From the dynamics of trade and export activities of barley early in the season are left no traces. Competitive market pressure within the Black sea region froze exports for the last few weeks while domestic consumption is a few metric tons per week. The unloading of the grain will most probably happen slowly this marketing season as was the case during last year. Such market sentiments directly affect cultivation strategies, which in return affect output.

Harvest 2017-18

(01.07.2017 - 13.10.2017)

Beg.availability, incl. carry over & imports

  655,451  mt

Domestic consumption

90,000 mt

Exports to the world

200,561 mt

   to EU markets

185,332 mt

   to rest of the world

15,229 mt

Source: Bulgarian Ministry of Agriculture

 

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