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Corn: Projections are for at least a 20% higher output this year

October 27, 2017 at 9:16 AM , Starry Night Ltd.
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SOFIA. The higher yield raises output. Exports slowed down while prices are far away from finding support.

BULGARIA. Although corn is the last grain to be harvested in the family of the other local crops for the season, fearing a persistent bearish trend later in the marketing year, a substantial number of farmers already sold out.

According to the Ministry of Agriculture, by the 19th of October 2017, harvested corn fields reached 88% of 418,224 ha total availability for the year. Estimated output stands at 2,138,065 mt, which is about 4% lower than last year’s total production. Projections are for aggregate output from the current harvest to be between 2,5 mmt – 2,7 mmt.

Corn: A higher yield raises production levels this year

A higher average yield will be at the center for the expected substantial increase in realized quantities during harvest 2017-18. According to local authorities, average yield stands at 5,8 mt/ha, which is 9.2% higher than that of last year.

Harvest 2017-18

(01.09.2017 - 20.10.2017)

Beg.availability, incl. carry over & imports

2,718,065  mt

Domestic consumption

180,000 mt

Exports to the world

445,738 mt

   to EU markets

357,864 mt

   to rest of the world

87,874 mt

Source: Bulgarian Ministry of Agriculture

In the realm of prices

Ukraine is still in the midst of harvest, with an expected output of 27 mmt or lower by 1 mmt on a year-to-year basis, according to the recent USDA report of World Agricultural Production; while Turkey’s output is projected to reach 6,0 mmt or 0,5 mmt more than the country realized last year. Anyhow, huge swings in the producers of corn within the Black sea basin are not expected and although Bulgarian corn is usually traded at higher levels, there is no market indication right now that prices will find support any time soon.

Corn, Bulgaria

Crop

EUR/kg

Corn

0.135

EXW Bulgaria

 

 

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