Free of charge

Desiccated coconuts: crop losses and delivery delays

November 19, 2025 at 12:41 PM , Der AUDITOR
Play report as audio

MANILA. Several typhoons have hit the Philippines, causing flooding in growing areas and crop losses. Rising demand in the first Quarter of 2026 could lead to a raw material shortage.

Importers need to stock up soon

Global demand for desiccated coconuts is lower than expected in the Q4 of 2025, as the experts at JCP International explain in their latest report. They cite buyers' resistance to the very high prices in the first half of the year as the reason for this. As a result, few long-term contracts were concluded. However, market experts assume that the lowest price has now been reached, and T.M. Duché also reports that there have been no further price declines for eleven weeks.

JCP also reports that the time has now come in the growing countries when availability is declining and supply is becoming scarce. This also limits delivery flexibility and argues against further price reductions. Meanwhile, the target markets in Europe, the Middle East and North America are reporting low inventories, which are continuing to shrink due to slower arrivals. Importers have largely refrained from making large purchases in recent months, meaning that they will soon have to restock, ideally before Q1 2026.

The experts at JCP emphasise that the current weakness in prices is not due to an oversupply of raw materials, but rather to weak demand. On the contrary, if demand increases significantly, there could be a raw material shortage. This increase in demand could come as early as Q1 2026, not least because Ramadan begins in February and Chinese importers are stocking up for the Chinese New Year.

Typhoons cause flooding

The Philippines has been hit by several severe typhoons in recent weeks, which have left their mark. There is talk of severe damage to infrastructure, which is also slowing down logistical processes, and flooding in coconut-growing regions. This has caused damage to coconut palms and developing coconuts, leading to local crop failures and harvest delays. The typhoon season is now coming to an end, but a certain residual risk remains. Other countries in Southeast Asia are also affected by losses due to persistent rainfall and flooding, which could lead to delivery delays and rising prices in the coming weeks.

View more
price chart, desiccated coconuts, Sri Lanka
price chart, desiccated coconuts, Indonesia
price chart, desiccated coconuts, Philippines 
price chart, coconut oil, Indonesia
more price charts

View related articles

Go to the News Overview
Nuts
Aug 20, 2026
SACRAMENTO/REUS. With harvesting well underway a more consistent picture is emerging for US almonds. Harvest reports are also impacting prices. INC estimates predict a similar kernel production to last year.
Nuts
Aug 20, 2026
ORDU/REUS. With TMO and free market prices diverging for hazelnuts the market is anxiously waiting for growers to act. Anticipation is that new crop arrivals may be delayed. Production estimates have changed for Italy.
Dried Fruit
Aug 20, 2026
REUS/BRUSSELS. Higher production volumes in the US are expected to offset the decline in Canada. According to the INC, global production will therefore be roughly on a par with last year’s levels.
Dried Fruit
Aug 19, 2026
REUS/BRUSSELS. EU countries have increased their prune imports. Goods are available at lower prices on the European spot market. The INC’s production forecasts are positive.