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Desiccated coconuts: falling freight rates ease pressure

August 20, 2025 at 11:31 AM , Der AUDITOR
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MANILA. The downward trend in sea freight rates is benefiting Philippine exporters, but they are still facing further uncertainties such as customs duty increases. While prices for coconut products are being supported by tight supply, coconut oil could become cheaper in the short term.

Sales before the typhoon season

According to experts at T.M. Duché, the market for desiccated coconuts remains strong. High-quality goods are particularly in demand, with prices around 3% higher than in the second quarter of 2025, but even lower qualities are trading at relatively high prices. This is due to a shortage of goods in important target countries, especially in Europe, which is meeting with sustained strong demand.

Prices for coconut oil are also holding at a high level; virgin coconut oil is trading at the equivalent of 5.30-5.65 USD/l, which represents a 5% increase over last year. Although there were isolated reports of price declines last week, the market experts dismiss these as a “blib” as they only affected a few selected trading transactions. However, some producers appear to have large quantities of coconut oil and growers should sell their goods before the typhoon season, which could lead to price reductions. As fresh coconuts are becoming scarcer, there should still be some support here, including for virgin and RBD coconut oil.

China buys up Indonesia's raw material stocks

Meanwhile, experts at JCP International report that Indonesia's coconut suppliers are also under massive pressure. Adverse weather conditions have led to yield declines, and Chinese buyers in particular are purchasing such large quantities of raw coconuts that there is hardly anything left for Indonesian processors. In January and February 2025 alone, China imported 68,000 mt of raw coconuts from Indonesia, accounting for 96% of its exports. This is also driving up prices. There is a possibility of shortages of products such as desiccated coconuts and coconut oil, especially if there is another dry spell.

Desiccated coconuts

Type/Origin

USD/kg

DC, fine, high fat, FOB Indonesia

3.62

DC, medium, FOB Indonesia

3.67

Coconut chips, roasted, FOB Indonesia

4.49

DC, medium, high fat, FOB Philippines

3.98

Trade sources

Downward trend for freight costs continues

Overall, price volatility for coconut products should remain limited as supply bottlenecks persist and are exacerbated by logistical hurdles and fluctuating fuel prices, according to T.M. Duché. According to the Drewry World Container Index, transport costs have fallen slightly again and currently stand at USD 2,350 for a 40' FCL on key east-west routes. This is a relief for Asian exporters, but margins remain subject to external factors such as customs adjustments.

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