Free of charge

Macadamias: Deviating forecasts

November 20, 2019 at 3:01 PM , Der AUDITOR
Play report as audio

CANBERRA/PEKING. Market players are maintaining their estimates for the Australian macadamia production 2019/2020. Expectations for this year's production in China, however, are very different.

Plus or minus?

Due to the drought, the macadamia production in Australia was reduced by 13% to 42,900 metric tonnes. At the same time, the export demand remains steady. The USA, Japan and Germany are among the most important purchasers. The main producing country South Africa experiences dry and warm weather. Thanks to investments on the promotion of macadamia cultivation, exports for the 2019/2020 season estimate an increase to 58,500-60,000 metric tonnes in production.

The situation is different in China. According to the current report of the INC, the crop volume is expected to rise to 31,500 metric tonnes this year; the most recent forecast was just under 30,000 metric tonnes. The November report of the Australian Macadamia Society, however, contrasts with this as it speaks of a decline in Chinese macadamia production to around 20,000 metric tonnes.

Macadamias in shell, production in mt

Country

2018/19

2019/20

Diff.

South Africa

56,880

58,500

2.8%

Australia

49,300

42,900

-13.0%

Kenya

35,900

33,950

-5.4%

China

21,400

31,500

47.2%

USA

16,957

18,000

6.2%

Guatemala

11,500

13,500

17.4%

Malawi

7,125

8,370

17.5%

Brazil

6,200

7,200

16.1%

Vietnam

1,200

1,450

20.8%

Colombia

1,350

1,300

-3.7%

Others

13,270

15,350

15.7%

Total

221,082

232,020

4.9%

INC November 2019

View more information: 
- general price charts

View related articles

Go to the News Overview
Nuts
Jul 29, 2025
OUAGADOUGOU/WASHINGTON, D.C. A large proportion of West Africa's exportable cashew production has already been shipped to its destination countries, leaving only small quantities available in some producing countries. In the USA, demand also depends on developments in customs duties.
Nuts
Jul 28, 2025
NEW DELHI/ATLANTA. NAFED sales continue to exert pressure on the Indian peanut market and prices. In the USA, the outlook for the coming crop is good so far.
Nuts
Jul 24, 2025
ORDU. Heated debates persist over the estimates issued by the Ministry of Agriculture. Next week’s Exporters Union’s forecast is to bring more clarity on this year’s crop size for hazelnuts. Expectation is also that the base price will cause some headache.
Nuts
Jul 23, 2025
CAPE TOWN/NAIROBI. The threat of US tariffs on South African macadamias is causing suppliers there to focus more on the Chinese market. Kenya is tightening its regulations for raw macadamias, and EU buyers are investing significantly more.