Mustard seeds: lower average prices expected for the new crop
May 28, 2026 at 4:30 PM ,
Der AUDITOR
Unwaveringly optimistic
By the end of May, mustard seed sowing in Canada is slowly drawing to a close. As the experts at Rayglen Commodities report, the windy weather conditions in the growing regions were not always ideal; at the same time, however, they note that sowing benefited from rainfall in southern Saskatchewan and Alberta.
Prices have been relatively stable for months now, and given the abundant stocks, this is unlikely to change any time soon. Yellow mustard seeds of the 2025 crop are quoted at CAD 0.40/lb, while the new crop is trading at prices of CAD 0.40–0.42/lb depending on the delivery date.
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada has published its latest seasonal report. In this report, the forecasts for sowing, harvest, yield, etc. remain unchanged. Only the expected average price has been reduced in view of the potentially high availability and, at CAD 850/mt, would actually be lower than in the previous two years.
|
Mustard seeds, Canada |
2024/25 |
2025/26 |
Diff. |
2025/26 |
2026/27 |
Diff. |
|
Area sown (ha) |
245,000 |
146,000 |
-40.4% |
146,000 |
198,000 |
35.6% |
|
Area harvested (ha) |
243,000 |
145,000 |
-40.3% |
145,000 |
193,000 |
33.1% |
|
Yield (mt/ha) |
0.79 |
0.97 |
22.8% |
0.97 |
0.79 |
-18.6% |
|
Production (mt) |
192,000 |
140,000 |
-27.1% |
140,000 |
152,000 |
8.6% |
|
Imports (mt) |
8,000 |
9,000 |
12.5% |
9,000 |
9,000 |
0.0% |
|
Total supplies (mt) |
288,000 |
292,000 |
1.4% |
292,000 |
306,000 |
4.8% |
|
Exports (mt) |
91,000 |
95,000 |
4.4% |
95,000 |
95,000 |
0.0% |
|
Domestic consumption (mt) |
54,000 |
52,000 |
-3.7% |
52,000 |
51,000 |
-1.9% |
|
Carry-over stocks (mt) |
143,000 |
145,000 |
1.4% |
145,000 |
160,000 |
10.3% |
|
Avg price in CAD/mt |
860 |
870 |
1.2% |
870 |
850 |
-2.3% |
|
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada |
||||||
EU increases imports from Kazakhstan by 120%
Mustard seed imports into the EU remain well above last year’s levels. According to data from the European Commission, a total of 77,770 mt of mustard seeds were imported from third countries between 1 July 2025 and 24 May 2026, which is 11.6% more than at this time last year. The value of imports during the above-mentioned period amounted to EUR 46.988 million (-6.5%), whilst the average import price fell by 16.7% compared to the same period last year to EUR 0.60/kg.
Imports from Canada have so far totalled 21,145 mt, representing a 5.9% increase on the previous year, and imports from Kazakhstan also rose significantly by a substantial 120.3% to 20,355 mt, whilst Russia’s shipments, at 14,049 mt, remain roughly at last year’s level. By contrast, imports from Ukraine (-41% to 14,014 mt), Moldova (-46.8% to 1,151 mt) and India (-32% to 172 mt) were down.
In the current season, Poland has so far been the most important buyer within the EU; the country has not only increased its imports by 54.5% year-on-year to 26,220 mt, but also accounts for around a third of total EU imports. Belgium has also increased its imports by 89.4% to 20,460 mt. In contrast, shipments to Germany (-38.2% to 14,890 mt) fell significantly during the period mentioned above.
|
EU mustard seed imports, in mt |
|||
|
Partner |
2024/25 |
2025/26 |
Diff. |
|
Canada |
19,973 |
21,145 |
5.9% |
|
Kazakhstan |
9,238 |
20,355 |
120.3% |
|
Russia |
14,005 |
14,049 |
0.3% |
|
Ukraine |
23,743 |
14,014 |
-41.0% |
|
Brazil |
- |
6,695 |
n/a |
|
Moldova |
2,162 |
1,151 |
-46.8% |
|
India |
253 |
172 |
-32.0% |
|
Others |
283 |
189 |
-33.2% |
|
Total |
69,657 |
77,770 |
11.6% |
|
DG AGRI TAXUD Customs Surveillance System, 01/07-24/05 12075090 Mustard seeds, whether or not broken (excl. for sowing) |
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