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Sultanas: Chinese suppliers are shocked

January 25, 2017 at 12:41 PM , Der AUDITOR
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MANISA. With sales dwindling China is growing increasingly nervous. The latest export figures are confirming their fears.

Turkey beats all

Suppliers in China uniformly report that sales have dropped this season. They blame Turkey, where prices are as low as not seen in years. It is therefore hardly surprising that several countries have considerably increased their imports from Turkey in 2016. Sales to Germany even rose by 80% as compared to 2015. Exports to the UK, however, remained on a relatively stable level.

 

Sultana exports Turkey 2016/17 (in mt)

country

2016

2015

y-on-y

UK

23,713

24,683

-3.93%

Germany

15,280

8,546

78.79%

Netherlands

12,864

9,393

36.95%

Italy

11,685

9,232

26.57%

France

6,305

5,079

24.13%

Australia

4,908

4,388

11.86%

Belgium

4,769

3,885

22.75%

Poland

4,502

482

834.55%

Canada

3,885

1,963

97.90%

Spain

3,240

1,858

74.39%

others

21,553

10,813

99.32%

total

112,703

80,323

40.31%

source: Aegean Export Union

Black Sea Export Union

Exports have considerably increased

Turkey has so far sold more than two thirds of the 2016 production and buyers are urged to hurry in securing purchases. Almost 125,000 mt have been shipped abroad since the beginning of the season, 40% more than last year.

Sultana exports in mt

season

mt

avg USD

avg EUR

2016/17

124,919

1,600

1,487

2015/16

87,946

2,144

1,993

Since the beginning of the season

Possible increases in price

It should, however, be noted that the Turkish prices for raw sultanas have increased to a level of 3.80-4.30 TRY/kg, which has not yet produced any effects on the export prices. The farmers want to gain as much profit as they possibly can from their remaining supplies. Since many suppliers have already closed contracts there currently is no need for buyers to worry about higher prices. The weather conditions in March and April are decisive for the further development of prices in the current season since frost could have a potentially severe impact on the crop. Market participants currently estimate a production of 250,000 mt, which may be less than last season but still satisfactory.

Sultanas, Turkey

type

USD/mt

EUR/mt

Grade A, Type 8, STD  

1,250

1,162

Grade A, Type 9, STD  

1,300

1,208

Grade A, Type 10, STD  

1,400

1,301

Bio, Grade A, Type 9  

2,100

1,952

FOB Izmir

 

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