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Wheat: higher than initially expected output

August 3, 2017 at 8:06 AM , Starry Night Ltd.
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The higher yield this season pushed the initial forecast upward. Exports are quickly mounting!

Wheat: surprisingly higher aggregate production

SOFIA. Apparently, the higher average yield this year actually would come to the rescue of the initially lower projected national output; even though dry weather conditions in the South regions and hailstorms in some regions of the country during harvest reduced the potential of the crop in some fields.

According to the Ministry of Agriculture, by the 27th of July 2017, 89% of total available land for harvest was combined, recording a yield estimate on a national level of about 5.27 mt/ha; last year, the aggregate yield stood at 4.7 ha/mt. The initial forecast, made just before harvest began, was set for about 5,200,000 mt. Completing 89% of harvested land, farmers have collected 5,144,806 mt. By the end of harvest, total aggregate output could stand by just below 3% of that from last year – 5,662,721 mt, which for a period of more than a decade was estimated as the highest realized national output.

Harvest 2017-18

(01.07.2017 - 28.07.2017)

Carry over

   179,000 mt

Domestic output

5,144,806 mt

Domestic consumption

   123,200 mt

Exports to the world

   328,000 mt

Source: Bulgarian Ministry of Agriculture

In the realm of prices

According to local farmers, the quality of the crop this year is higher than that of last one. Premium quality wheat trades higher, although prices right now are very sensitive and immediately reflect the pulse of the market, which depends on local demand, lined-up ships and short-term expectations from possible developments in the Black sea region.

Wheat, Bulgaria

Type

EUR/kg

milling wheat

0.151

feed wheat

0.142

EXW Bulgaria

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