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Desiccated coconuts: shortage continues

March 3, 2025 at 8:15 AM , Der AUDITOR
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MANILA. Unfavourable weather conditions continue to cause shortages in the coconut market. An improvement in the situation is not in sight for the time being.

Conscious consumption

Extreme weather could become a problem for coconut farmers in Thailand. Although the initially expected peaks of over 40°C are unlikely, the weather forecast predicts daily temperatures of around 35°C at the end of February and beginning of March.

The experts at JCP International fear that other coconut-growing countries could also be affected by a similar situation. Unfavourable weather conditions had already led to a shortage of coconut stocks in 2024. In Malaysia, the government has called on the population to ensure moderate consumption of coconut products, which already applied to the Lunar New Year at the end of January as well as the Hindu festival of Thaipusam, which is celebrated in the second week of February. Similar requests can be expected for the Ramadan period.

Firm to rising trend

Coconut yields have fallen significantly throughout Asia, in some regions coconut palms are bearing an estimated 80-90% less fruit than usual and in the Philippines the price of copra has risen by 135% year-on-year according to JCP International. Coconut oil has also become significantly more expensive due to the current situation. Desiccated coconuts for prompt shipments are currently not available from this origin; the earliest possible deliveries are currently possible for July and August. At the same time, coconut stocks in Sir Lanka are so scarce that the local population is struggling to meet its own needs.

Market experts reckon that the situation will hardly improve in the coming months. 2025 is characterised by scarce coconut stocks and high prices. According to T.M. Duché, prices for desiccated coconuts are currently holding steady at USD 0.80-1.70/lb FOB, while coconut oil has risen again compared to the previous week and is currently trading at USD 2,000-2,085/mt CIF Rotterdam. The rise in coconut oil prices is underpinned by rising prices for palm and soya oil.

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price chart, desiccated coconuts, Philippines 
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price chart, coconut oil, Indonesia
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