Mustard seeds: Canada's crop hits 40-year low
October 5, 2021 at 11:31 AM ,
Der AUDITOR
Yields slumped by almost 40%
As with flaxseed, Statistics Canada (STC) has once again drastically reduced the cultivation figures for mustard seeds in the current seasonal forecast. The experts reckon that about 119,000 ha can be harvested this year. With an average yield of just 0.6 mt/ha (-39% yoy), farmers could therefore achieve the worst result since the 1970s with only 71,000 mt of mustard seeds in the 2021/2022 season. The average crop over the last 20 years was 157,200 mt, the acreage 179,200 ha and the yield 0.9 mt/ha. Thanks to cary-over stocks of 40,000 mt, 118,000 mt of mustard seeds should still be available on the market in the new season, which would nevertheless be a decline of almost 30% compared to last year. Accordingly, the expected average price has been increased by more than a quarter to CAD 1,200/mt compared to last year. However, it is questionable whether the export volume will be able to maintain the 75,000 mt under these circumstances.
|
Mustard seeds, Canada |
2019/20 vs. 2020/21 |
2020/21 vs. 2021/22 |
||||
|
Area sown (ha) |
161,000 |
104,000 |
-35.4% |
104,000 |
124,000 |
19.2% |
|
Area harvested (ha) |
155,000 |
101,000 |
-34.8% |
101,000 |
119,000 |
17.8% |
|
Yield (mt/ha) |
0.87 |
0.98 |
12.6% |
0.98 |
0.60 |
-38.8% |
|
Production (mt) |
135,000 |
99,000 |
-26.7% |
99,000 |
71,000 |
-28.3% |
|
Imports (mt) |
7,000 |
6,000 |
-14.3% |
6,000 |
7,000 |
16.7% |
|
Total supplies (mt) |
214,000 |
166,000 |
-22.4% |
166,000 |
118,000 |
-28.9% |
|
Exports (mt) |
112,000 |
111,000 |
-0.9% |
111,000 |
75,000 |
-32.4% |
|
Domestic Consumption (mt) |
42,000 |
15,000 |
-64.3% |
15,000 |
38,000 |
153.3% |
|
Carry-over stocks (mt) |
61,000 |
40,000 |
-34.4% |
40,000 |
5,000 |
-87.5% |
|
Avg price in CAD/mt |
700 |
885 |
26.4% |
885 |
1,200 |
35.6% |
|
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada |
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Germany increases imports from Poland by 227%
Between September 2020 and July 2021, Germany imported 28,465 mt of mustard seeds, around 27% less than this time last year. Russia remains the most important supplier, even though imports from there have declined by almost 11%. Even more significant are the declines in shipments from Ukraine (-48%), Canada (-34%), Estonia (-33%) and Kazakhstan (-82%). In contrast, German mustard seed imports from the Czech Republic (+44%) and Poland (+227%) increased significantly.
|
Mustard seed* imports, Germany, in mt |
|||
|
Country |
2019/20 |
2020/21 |
Diff. |
|
Russia |
17,423 |
15,600 |
-10.5% |
|
Ukraine |
13,406 |
6,989 |
-47.9% |
|
Canada |
4,368 |
2,888 |
-33.9% |
|
Estonia |
1,443 |
963 |
-33.3% |
|
Czech Republic |
521 |
752 |
44.3% |
|
Poland |
175 |
572 |
226.9% |
|
Kazakhstan |
1.207 |
220 |
-81.8% |
|
Others |
466 |
481 |
3.2% |
|
Total |
39,009 |
28,465 |
-27.0% |
|
Federal Statistical Office of Germany / Sep-Jul *12075090 Mustard seeds, whether or not broken (excl. for sowing) |
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