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Wheat: The EU remains the strongest buyer

May 24, 2018 at 12:43 PM , Starry Night Ltd.
In places, prosperous harvest expected.
In places, prosperous harvest expected.
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SOFIA. Shipped volumes to EU markets at all-time high; those to non-EU markets have suffered significantly.

BULGARIA. Never have exports been so strong on a yearly basis. By the end of last week, total shipped volumes abroad reached 4,319,120 mt while a year earlier, exported quantities accounted to 3,951,123 mt or by 9.31% lower than those of the current marketing year, according to local authorities. Remaining stocks, which a week ago stood at 441,702 mt, will most probably reach levels of 150,000 mt by the beginning of the upcoming harvest.

       Harvest 2017-18

(01.07.2017 - 18.05.2018)

            units in MT

Beginning availability

179,000

Aggregate output

6,134,496

Imports

63,626

Domestic consumption

1,616,300

   food

876,000

   feed

448,000

   seeds

260,000

   industrial usage

32,300

Exports to the world

4,319,120

   to EU markets

3,622,014

   to rest of the world

697,106

Source: Bulgarian Ministry of Agriculture

Wheat: Unquenched foreign demand

Yearly, the majority of locally grown wheat is exported to the western countries of the old continent. According to local intermediary market players, since the end of harvest 2017-18, the export rate has kept its momentum quite strong due to an excellent demand from EU markets, specifically Spain. Up-to-date exports to countries of the Union came to 3,622,014 mt, which yearly represents an increase of 48%. The larger output this year, together with the higher quality of the grains and competitive prices within the region, has allowed local exporters to substantially increase their trades to the EU. The trend will remain upbeat till the end of the season.

However, it is exports to markets outside the EU that have substantially suffered during the year. By the end of last week, exports to non-EU markets came to just 697,106 mt while a year earlier, shipped volumes reached 1,503,864 mt. The current figure represents a significant drop in exports of 53.65% in comparison with those of last year. The reason is the ample supply of wheat from the behemoth producers within the Black sea region, such as Russia, and their exporting clout to third world countries. This trend will remain subdued.

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