Oilseeds - Oilseeds

Rapeseed: Local prices are at the mercy of regional ones

August 29, 2017 at 7:17 AM , Starry Night Ltd.
Play report as audio

Regional market trends are expected to influence local prices in the long-term.

SOFIA. Production of rapeseed from harvest 2017-18 came short (by 10.06%) this year. As a result, the final estimate of aggregate output, according to the Ministry of Agriculture, stands at 458,005 mt. Current prices still experience some fluctuating movements, depending on export activities, although medium-term ones would most probably slide on a downward trajectory.

Rapeseed: Europe remains the main export market

EU member countries continue to be the main buyers of locally grown rapeseed. By the 18th of August 2017, according to the Ministry of Agriculture, shipments to European markets reached 119,750 mt while those to the rest of the world amounted to 21,276 mt.

Harvest 2017-18

(01.07.2017 - 18.08.2017)

Carry over

25,000 mt

Domestic output

458,005 mt

Domestic consumption

11,200 mt

Exports to the world

141,026 mt

Source: Bulgarian Ministry of Agriculture

However, exports via sea routes lag behind on a year-to-year basis. By the end of the third week of the month, via Varna seaport went only 17,082 mt while last year by that time, the figure was 67,972 mt. Anyhow, before the month reaches it send, exports via marine routes will increase since ships have been at ports, uploading the crop.

When medium-term concerns grow into long-term ones

According to a recent USDA report on World Agricultural Production, Ukraine will realize 2.1 mmt of rapeseed, which represents a substantial increase from last year’s 1.25 mmt. Such a bumper production, on the background of already mounting export activities from the country, will definitely influence its shipment volumes abroad throughout the whole season. As a result, local market sellers once again will have to adapt to regional market trends. The threat is no longer a medium-term; it is a long-term one since Ukraine’s exports are expected to grow substantially during this marketing season.

 Rapeseed, Bulgaria

Crop

EUR/kg

rapeseed

0.350

EXW Bulgaria

View related articles

Go to the News Overview
Oilseeds
May 2, 2024
NEW DELHI. Farmers are about to start harvesting the new sesame seed crop in India. Prices are surprisingly firm considering that production is set to decline. Heavy rains may impact production in Tanzania.
Oilseeds
Apr 30, 2024
CHRUDIM. Sowing is said to have risen sharply for poppy seeds this year, but pests may become an issue as less chemicals are being applied.
Nuts
Apr 29, 2024
NEW DELHI/BUENOS AIRES. With peanut supplies nearly exhausted in Indonesia and new crops, notably from Argentina and Tanzania, comping into play the market has reached a turning point in India. Demand for US peanuts is stronger in the EU than in China.
Grains
Apr 26, 2024
BRUSSELS. Cold and rainy weather spells bad news for Europe’s wheat, rapeseed and corn crops. Prospects for soybeans are far from encouraging in South America. Russia’s missile attack on the port of Pivdennyi in Ukraine has sparked concerns over the Black Sea grain exports.